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September 28, 2009

Sobering reading

Leave aside all the bumpf about sea-faring traditions; what matters is a RAND Corporation assessment of a changed balance of power in the Taiwan Straight.

‘The United States can no longer be confident of winning the battle for the air in the air,’ said the study by the RAND Corporation, profiling the military situation in the Taiwan Strait. ‘This represents a dramatic change from the first five-plus decades of the China-Taiwan confrontation.’

The piece, based on simulations of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, assesses the relative balance of forces in the cross-strait standoff. And in a stark warning, the authors present a convincing argument that China’s large, modern missile and air forces are likely to pose a virtually insurmountable challenge to Taiwanese and American efforts to command the air over the Strait and the island.

Posted by Ghost of a flea at September 28, 2009 05:53 AM