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November 14, 2006

Warm mongering

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I had already written several pieces about ecological matters, but my superhero concept filled me with a concern that ecology might be the next banner for demagogues and would-be-heroes, for the power seekers and others ready to find an adrenaline high in the launching of a new crusade. Our society, after all, operates on guilt, which often serves only to obscure its real workings and to prevent obvious solutions. An adrenaline high can be just as addictive as any other kind of high.
- Frank Herbert, Dune Genesis

During my years in England I worked as a research consultant to projects for a number of ministries including the Department of the Environment. Of all the cumbersome doings of government, I think there are few more important that the coordinating role this and equivalent ministries elsewhere can have for social, economic and technological policy and innovation. There has been a revolution in thinking not only about but in terms of the environment - that is to say not only about the environment as a static fact - but in terms of ecological systems. I believe it is difficult to over-estimate the importance of such systemic thinking; perhaps Frank Herbert schooled a generation or three in this stuff without us knowing he was doing it...

That said, it is difficult to over-estimate the importance of approaching ecological systems with what might be called a passionate disinterest. Complex systems are not beyond our capacity to engage with and influence but at this stage in our ability to model such systems we should do so with a studied humility. The hubris of the warm mongerers, and their apocalyptic disregard for the world's poor, let alone mere fact, substitutes science for sanctimony.

The last thing Planet needs is another lot of ascetic priests holding the whip hand. Writing for the Telegraph, Christopher Monckton considers the distortion of the truth about global climate change and, in a follow-up piece, takes on the dodgy economic assumptions of the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change.

Last week, Gordon Brown and his chief economist both said global warming was the worst "market failure" ever. That loaded soundbite suggests that the "climate-change" scare is less about saving the planet than, in Jacques Chirac's chilling phrase, "creating world government". This week and next, I'll reveal how politicians, scientists and bureaucrats contrived a threat of Biblical floods, droughts, plagues, and extinctions worthier of St John the Divine than of science.

Sir Nicholas Stern's report on the economics of climate change, which was published last week, says that the debate is over. It isn't. There are more greenhouse gases in the air than there were, so the world should warm a bit, but that's as far as the "consensus" goes. After the recent hysteria, you may not find the truth easy to believe.

The tag-line, and the most satisfying pun I have encountered since, like, the last ice age, is thanks to Tim Blair. In related the-end-is-nigh events is Our Lady of the Apocalypse, an icon by Fr. William McNichols. Sweet.

Chicken Little Update: The sky is falling! Not that I have anything against Sedna, the Mother of the Sea. Here's hoping the book's illustrators don't have their heads hacked off for idolatry. You know, by some activists somewhere.

Posted by Ghost of a flea at November 14, 2006 08:55 AM

Comments

Monckton has been putting out some very good pieces of late and provides a great summary of what we're not hearing from most of the media.

I'd recommend Brian Fagan's very interesting "The Little Ice Age"; although he accepts Anthropogenic Global Warming as fact, he does communicate an interesting tale of how life changed for Europeans between 1300 and 1850. Also, E.C. Pielou's "After the Ice Age" on the return of life to North America over the last 15000 years or so. None of the wildlife that I can see out my window was present 15000 years ago; it all moved in from elsewhere. Climate change happens all the time and it comes quickly and dramatically.

The sun as a forcing agent for global climate change is, perhaps, about to get its due.

http://greenspin.blogspot.com/2006/10/do-i-detect-first-tiny-rumblings-of.html

I find it odd that radiocarbon, which is related to solar activity, is very closely related to temperature over the last millenia. CO2 is not, but that's all we hear about. Not so "odd" I guess, we can't try to control the sun ... yet.

Fagan doesn't get into it enough, but I would like to see more work done on life during the Medieval Warm Period and how it differed from previous periods. Fagan does discuss it a bit -- everything from the wars of that period to the construction of the great cathedrals of Western Europe were due to the wealth and relatively easy life afforded by the warmer weather.

Posted by: The_Campblog [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 09:39 AM

Excellent references there.... thanks! I think of the whole sorry spectacle masquerading as science it is the attempt to erase the Medieval Warm Period that worries me the most. This is totalitarian, he who controls the past controls the future, Memory Hole thinking. It is as if the 500 year Norse settlement of Greenland never happened...

Posted by: Ghost of a flea [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 09:52 AM

I wonder why I do not care one way or the other like you two gents do. I'll admit to plenty of massive gaps in my personality so that is at play but why is this conspiracy of authority so worthy of concern relative to the others we face relating to, say, food security, terrorism and...stuff. What is it about about this perceived error in science and the bureaucratic response driving the debate which interests? At the end of the day, either is something which is and it is largely too late to deal with or it is not in which case it is puffery. I am in no way chastising but in a way it is like the ecclesiastical foul language of Quebec, something others seem to care about far more than I would consider reasonable. That would include hype on both sides including the otherwise huggable "warm mongers" which is as deep and purposeful as any pun.

Posted by: Alan McLeod [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 10:21 AM

It is a fair question. You might also ask why I react so strongly to most opposition to same-sex marriage or ignorance about basic evolutionary biology. There are stupidities which I find offensive not only for their consequences in matters of policy but for their irrationalism and their distortion of logic. Could I be arguing about other things? Certainly. Though I should point out my Cheeky Girls post of yesterday attracted no comments whatsoever. Perhaps their beauty could only inspire mute worship; it would only be fitting.

Posted by: Ghost of a flea [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 10:27 AM

I did not mean to inspire introspection and your Cheeky Girls comment is quite right. I live, however in a 24-hour nsfw world so I must excuse myself in such matters.

But it is that first bit I need to know about. I understand and place "opposition to same-sex marriage or ignorance about basic evolutionary biology" highly and am encouraged by your activism. But I see Global warming as something different, like cold fusion or Segways - if it is true that it is not true. So what you seem to have left is a bureaucratic hullabaloo about puffery. But we have these hullabaloos all the time. Others are more (as far as I can see which is usually not far) actually injurious to humans such as we may find in the active public and commercial infrastructures dedicated to ignoring Darfur or the disposal of poisonous IT infrastructure or labour laws of China.

Are not the Warmists merely creating a bureaucracy? Does this cause not merely replicate the part-vacuum that is sometimes present in such areas as state business development agencies or heritage departments? That is what I think I am missing, that heightened moral offense that drives both sides of the debate.

Posted by: Alan McLeod [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 11:13 AM

Yes the anti-globo/capitalism/West lot have jumped on the envirofascism bandwagon now they don't have the Soviet Union to champion. They hate the free market and see the climate change excuse as a way of destroying it or severely damaging it. The trouble is that all three parties in the UK have bought the entire load of hooey hook line and sinker.

Posted by: Andrew Ian Dodge [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2006 06:09 PM

"They hate the free market and see the climate change excuse as a way of destroying it or severely damaging it."

Funny that they are also such an affluent society with some of the largest most prosperous corporations providing wealth for all. But the moralist dreams of collapse are surely a day or so away from fulfillment. Gotta be.

Posted by: Alan McLeod [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 15, 2006 07:48 AM